Celje vs Maribor: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Maribor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celje wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Maribor?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Celje (1,899) and Maribor (1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs Maribor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 27I. Ćalušić
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Maribor
4-3-3- 70I. Tshipamba
- 17J. Mlakar
- 99B. Feta
- 7T. Cipot
- 5Ž. Jevšenak
- 8Claude Gonçalves
- 25M. Blažič
- 6B. M'bondo
- 21V. Koderman
- 23Ž. Karničnik
- 1A. Jug
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Maribor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Celje wins, 3 draws, 0 Maribor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celje 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Celje 1-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Maribor 3-3 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Celje 3-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Maribor 1-2 Celje | 1. SNL |
| May 7, 2025 | Maribor 1-1 Celje | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maribor score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Maribor | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 6th in 1. SNL (15 points from 10 matches) and Maribor sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Celje vs Maribor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Maribor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Maribor.
- Where and when is Celje vs Maribor played?
- Celje vs Maribor is played on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.