Celje vs Slovan Bratislava: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab model makes Slovan Bratislava the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Celje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?
Slovan Bratislava starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,098 vs 1,913).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Slovan Bratislava have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ružomberok(home) | 5-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Celje win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slovan Bratislava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Slovan Bratislava 5-0 Celje | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Bratislava vs Celje on Jul 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Bratislava score 1.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?
- The Footlab model makes Slovan Bratislava the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Celje.
- Where and when is Celje vs Slovan Bratislava played?
- Celje vs Slovan Bratislava is played on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.