Fenerbahçe vs Lyon: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
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What was the result of Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Fenerbahçe and Lyon drew 1-1 on August 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 40′L. OpendaLyon
- 47′M. GreenwoodFenerbahçe
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Fenerbahçe win at 48%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0 — actual score: 1-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lyon have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fenerbahçe win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lyon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 0-0 Lyon | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon score 2.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Lyon | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy