Celle Varazze vs Borgosesia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Borgosesia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Borgosesia?
Celle Varazze starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Borgosesia have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Chieri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Vado(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Alcione(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lavagnese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bra(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borgosesia score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Borgosesia | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Borgosesia?
- The Footlab model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Borgosesia.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Borgosesia played?
- Celle Varazze vs Borgosesia is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.