Celoricense vs Brito: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 10Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, Celorico de Basto
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Brito. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celoricense vs Brito?
On Elo ratings, Celoricense has 1,920 points and Brito 1,906.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celoricense vs Brito
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Brito
Not enough data to predict the Brito lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celoricense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Brito have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vila Pouca(away) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Celoricense win, 0 draws, 1 Brito win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Brito 0-1 Celoricense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Celoricense 0-1 Brito | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brito score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Brito | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celoricense sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (7 points from 4 matches) and Brito sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Brito | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Celoricense vs Brito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celoricense vs Brito?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Brito.
- Where and when is Celoricense vs Brito played?
- Celoricense vs Brito is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.