Celoricense vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 17Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, Celorico de Basto
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Chaves II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celoricense vs Chaves II?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Celoricense (1,926) and Chaves II (1,945).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celoricense vs Chaves II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celoricense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chaves II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Celoricense win, 1 draw, 1 Chaves II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II 1-0 Celoricense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Chaves II 1-2 Celoricense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Celoricense 3-3 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Chaves II vs Celoricense on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celoricense sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (7 points from 4 matches) and Chaves II sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Celoricense vs Chaves II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celoricense vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Chaves II.
- Where and when is Celoricense vs Chaves II played?
- Celoricense vs Chaves II is played on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.