Celtic II vs Dalbeattie Star: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Excelsior Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic II vs Dalbeattie Star?
Celtic II is a heavy favourite: 1,658 Elo points against 1,259 — a 399-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dalbeattie Star have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Celtic II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dalbeattie Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star 1-5 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Dalbeattie Star 2-2 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Celtic II 5-0 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Dalbeattie Star 2-4 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Celtic II 1-0 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Dalbeattie Star vs Celtic II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic II sit 4th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Dalbeattie Star sit 31st (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtic II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic II vs Dalbeattie Star?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Celtic II vs Dalbeattie Star played?
- Celtic II vs Dalbeattie Star is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Excelsior Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers