Celtic vs Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 17, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Rangers?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,111 vs 2,009).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Rangers have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 5-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Celtic win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Celtic 3-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Rangers 0-0 Celtic | FA Cup |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Rangers 2-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Celtic 1-3 Rangers | Premiership |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Celtic 3-1 Rangers | League Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Rangers 0-0 Celtic | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rangers score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Rangers | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (6 points from 2 matches) and Rangers sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Rangers.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Rangers played?
- Celtic vs Rangers is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.