Central Espanol vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 1Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Central Espanol vs Progreso?
Central Espanol won 1-0 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 58′I. MéndezCentral Espanol
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Central Espanol win at 39%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Central Espanol vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Central Espanol
- 9R. Tarragona
- 10M. Aguilera
- 20J. Dellarossa
- 4M. Montiel
- 7F. Munoz
- 16I. Méndez
- 2I. Rodriguez
- 5M. Gonzalez
- 17L. Fernández
- 26Nunes Cesar
- 39Rodolfo
Progreso
- 8M. Juambeltz
- 11N. López
- 15M. Martin
- 17F. de León
- 19Joaquin Silva
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 25R. Cristóbal
- 13H. Carroso
- 24E. Álvarez
- 27G. Silva
- 1R. Bacchia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Espanol have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Progreso have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 24, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 30, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 23, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Espanol wins, 2 draws, 2 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Progreso 0-3 Central Espanol | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Central Espanol 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Progreso 1-1 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Progreso 2-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2017 | Central Espanol 1-0 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2017 | Progreso 2-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Central Espanol on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Espanol score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Espanol sit 16th in Primera División (5 points from 10 matches) and Progreso sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Central Espanol vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy