Cercle Brugge II vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge II vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Cercle Brugge II (1,766) and Tienen (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tienen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cercle Brugge II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tienen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tienen 2-1 Cercle Brugge II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Cercle Brugge II 1-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Tienen 0-3 Cercle Brugge II | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Cercle Brugge II 1-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Tienen vs Cercle Brugge II on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge II sit 9th in First Amateur Division (14 points from 11 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cercle Brugge II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge II vs Tienen?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge II vs Tienen played?
- Cercle Brugge II vs Tienen is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.