Cerrito vs Progreso: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 5, 2015 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Maracaná, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerrito vs Progreso?
Progreso won 0-1 on May 5, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 90′Marcelo Damián Bautista LópezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerrito have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Progreso have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2015 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 8, 2015 | Canadian(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2015 | Canadian(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Central Espanol(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Apr 8, 2015 | Villa Espanola(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cerrito win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2014 | Progreso 2-1 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| May 17, 2014 | Progreso 3-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Cerrito 3-3 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerrito score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Progreso | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerrito | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 48 | 69 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy