Cerro Largo vs Penarol: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 14, 2013 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
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What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
Cerro Largo won 1-0 on December 14, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 57′Rino Fabricio Lucas LeitesCerro Largo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Largo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Penarol have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Juventud(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Fenix(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Miramar(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Juventud(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Club Nacional(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2013 | SUD America(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cerro Largo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Cerro Largo 2-4 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Penarol 4-2 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Cerro Largo on Apr 6, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Largo score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Penarol | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Largo sit 12th in Primera División (17 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy