Cerro Largo vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on August 6, 2021 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
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What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on August 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 63′P. CeppeliniPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Largo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2021 | Rentistas(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Boston River(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Fenix(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2021 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Cerrito(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro Largo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | Penarol 4-1 Cerro Largo | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Cerro Largo 2-2 Penarol | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 17, 2021 | Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 27, 2020 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Cerro Largo 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Cerro Largo on Apr 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Largo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Penarol | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Largo sit 12th in Primera División (17 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy