Cerro Largo vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
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What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Cerro Largo and Progreso drew 1-1 on September 16, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 2′Carlos Alberto Canobbio BentaberryCerro Largo (o.g.)
- 56′Néstor Fabián Canobbio BentaberryProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Largo have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 27, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 20, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Jun 19, 2012 | Miramar(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Largo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Progreso | 1.6 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Largo sit 12th in Primera División (17 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy