Cerro Porteno vs Club Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on April 2, 2019 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla, Asunción
Full time
What was the result of Cerro Porteno vs Club Nacional?
Cerro Porteno won 1-0 on April 2, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 27′Víctor Javier Cáceres CenturiónCerro Porteno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Porteno have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Club Nacional have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Club Guarani(home) | 5-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 18, 2019 | SOL DE America(home) | 7-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 13, 2019 | Zamora FC(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Deportivo Santani(away) | 3-1 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Danubio(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Porteno score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Porteno sit 1st in CONMEBOL Libertadores (13 points from 6 matches) and Club Nacional sit 3rd (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy