Cerro vs Danubio: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on March 23, 2025 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerro vs Danubio?
Cerro and Danubio drew 1-1 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. AberoCerro (pen.)
- 89′S. RomeroDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Danubio have 2, 10 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Progreso(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Cerro 0-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| May 11, 2024 | Cerro 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Danubio 1-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Danubio | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy