Cerro vs Juventud: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 5Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro won 2-1 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′A. RodriguezJuventud
- 55′M. AlonsoCerro
- 80′M. AberoCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Juventud have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 3, 2025 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Danubio(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2022 | Juventud 1-1 Cerro | Segunda División |
| May 29, 2022 | Cerro 0-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Juventud 2-2 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Cerro 2-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Juventud 3-1 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2019 | Juventud 4-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Juventud | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy