Cerro vs Juventud: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 8Kick-off on March 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro won 1-0 on March 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 75′A. LimaCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Juventud have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Juventud 1-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cerro 2-1 Juventud | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Juventud 1-1 Cerro | Segunda División |
| May 29, 2022 | Cerro 0-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Juventud 2-2 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Cerro 2-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Juventud | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy