Cerro vs Penarol: result 0-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on March 21, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-3 on March 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 19′F. FormilianoPenarol
- 51′G. FernándezPenarol
- 53′A. CanobbioPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | Progreso(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2018 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2018 | CA River Plate(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | Cerro 0-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 7, 2017 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Penarol | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy