Cerro vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 1Kick-off on January 16, 2021 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Penarol?
Cerro and Penarol drew 1-1 on January 16, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 22′J. UrretaviscayaPenarol
- 61′M. CabreraCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Penarol have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2020 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2020 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 29, 2020 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Fenix(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Progreso(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 6, 2019 | Cerro 1-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Penarol 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Penarol 3-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Cerro 0-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 10th in Primera División - Clausura (46 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy