Penarol vs Cerro: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 1Kick-off on February 15, 2020 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 2-1 on February 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 10′Xisco JiménezPenarol
- 29′G. PaivaCerro
- 90′J. TrindadePenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cerro have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 22, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 22, 2019 | Juventud(away) | 2-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2019 | Cerro 1-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Penarol 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Penarol 3-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Cerro 0-4 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 7, 2017 | Penarol 1-2 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy