Cerro vs Penarol: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 27, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Penarol?
Cerro won 1-0 on October 27, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 47′Daniel LeitesCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Penarol have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2013 | SUD America(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Rentistas(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2013 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-5 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Danubio(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Rentistas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Penarol 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy