Cerro vs Progreso: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on March 1, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Progreso?
Progreso won 2-3 on March 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′I. PereiraCerro
- 19′J. BerríosCerro
- 29′F. LópezProgreso (pen.)
- 56′Á. SilvaProgreso (pen.)
- 79′Á. SilvaProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Progreso have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Miramar(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Albion FC(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 24, 2023 | SUD America(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Juventud(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cerro 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Progreso 0-0 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Progreso 2-1 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Cerro 2-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Progreso 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Progreso | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy