Cerro vs Progreso: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 26, 2012 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Progreso?
Progreso won 0-2 on August 26, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′R. GuartecheProgreso
- 18′G. AllesProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Progreso have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 28, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 19, 2012 | Danubio(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 13, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 6, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Jun 19, 2012 | Miramar(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Miramar(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy