Cetate Deva vs Unirea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Cetate I, Deva
The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Cetate Deva. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetate Deva vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
Unirea Alba Iulia starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetate Deva have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Unirea Alba Iulia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-15 | Cupa României |
| May 18, 2024 | Filiaşi(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 10, 2024 | Viitorul Şimian(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 7, 2024 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 3, 2024 | Filiaşi(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(away) | 4-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Cetate Deva win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unirea Alba Iulia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia 15-0 Cetate Deva | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Alba Iulia vs Cetate Deva on Aug 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Alba Iulia score 1.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetate Deva | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Unirea Alba Iulia | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 71 | 12 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetate Deva vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Cetate Deva.
- Where and when is Cetate Deva vs Unirea Alba Iulia played?
- Cetate Deva vs Unirea Alba Iulia is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Cetate I, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.