Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Pecica, Pecica
The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Metalurgistul Cugir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Progresul Pecica (1,438) and Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Pecica have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Metalurgistul Cugir have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Progresul Pecica win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Progresul Pecica 3-3 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 2-1 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Pecica | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Pecica sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 7 (38 points from 6 matches) and Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Pecica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Metalurgistul Cugir.
- Where and when is Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir played?
- Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Pecica, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.