Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Turnu Măgurele
The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for LPS HD Clinceni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Cetatea (1,511) and LPS HD Clinceni (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetatea have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; LPS HD Clinceni have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cetatea win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 LPS HD Clinceni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Cetatea 1-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 1-1 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Cetatea 0-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 5-0 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Cetatea 0-3 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | LPS HD Clinceni 0-2 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cetatea score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; LPS HD Clinceni score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetatea | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| LPS HD Clinceni | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cetatea sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 5 (43 points from 20 matches) and LPS HD Clinceni sit 4th (39 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cetatea | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 41 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | LPS HD Clinceni | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni?
- The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for LPS HD Clinceni.
- Where and when is Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni played?
- Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.