Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Marin Anastasovici, Giurgiu
The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu (1,332) and Progresul Mogosoaia (1,410).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Progresul Mogosoaia have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu.
- Where and when is Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia played?
- Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Marin Anastasovici, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.