Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Alberto García, Resistencia, Provincia del Chaco
The Footlab model makes Chaco For Ever the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Chaco For Ever (1,721) and San Miguel (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaco For Ever have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; San Miguel have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Chaco For Ever win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Miguel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | San Miguel 2-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Chaco For Ever on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chaco For Ever score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaco For Ever | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| San Miguel | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaco For Ever sit 16th in Primera Nacional (25 points from 25 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab model makes Chaco For Ever the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel played?
- Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Alberto García, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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