Cham vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eizmoos, Cham
The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Lugano II?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,433).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cham vs Lugano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cham
Not enough data to predict the Cham lineup.
Lugano II
Not enough data to predict the Lugano II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Lugano II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cham wins, 0 draws, 2 Lugano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugano II 0-1 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lugano II 0-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Cham 6-0 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Cham 1-0 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Lugano II 3-1 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Lugano II 3-2 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 3rd in 1. Liga Promotion (22 points from 11 matches) and Lugano II sit 15th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Cham vs Lugano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Cham vs Lugano II played?
- Cham vs Lugano II is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eizmoos, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.