Lugano II vs Paradiso: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
The Footlab model makes Lugano II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Paradiso. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugano II vs Paradiso?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Lugano II (1,578) and Paradiso (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Paradiso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cham(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugano II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Paradiso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Paradiso 1-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Lugano II 2-2 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Lugano II 1-1 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Paradiso 1-0 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Lugano II 2-1 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Paradiso vs Lugano II on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paradiso score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Paradiso | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano II sit 17th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Paradiso sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paradiso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugano II vs Paradiso?
- The Footlab model makes Lugano II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Paradiso.
- Where and when is Lugano II vs Paradiso played?
- Lugano II vs Paradiso is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.