Chambly Thelle FC vs Bastia-Borgo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Pierre Brisson, Beauvais
The Footlab model makes Chambly Thelle FC the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bastia-Borgo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chambly Thelle FC vs Bastia-Borgo?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Chambly Thelle FC (1,783) and Bastia-Borgo (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chambly Thelle FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bastia-Borgo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Colmar(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chambly Thelle FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bastia-Borgo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo 1-2 Chambly Thelle FC | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chambly Thelle FC 1-2 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Bastia-Borgo 0-3 Chambly Thelle FC | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Chambly Thelle FC 1-0 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Bastia-Borgo 4-0 Chambly Thelle FC | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Chambly Thelle FC 2-2 Bastia-Borgo | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bastia-Borgo vs Chambly Thelle FC on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chambly Thelle FC score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia-Borgo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chambly Thelle FC | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Bastia-Borgo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chambly Thelle FC sit 3rd in National 2 - Group A (3 points from 1 matches) and Bastia-Borgo sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chambly Thelle FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bastia-Borgo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chambly Thelle FC vs Bastia-Borgo?
- The Footlab model makes Chambly Thelle FC the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bastia-Borgo.
- Where and when is Chambly Thelle FC vs Bastia-Borgo played?
- Chambly Thelle FC vs Bastia-Borgo is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Pierre Brisson, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.