Bastia-Borgo vs Chantilly: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul-Antoniotti, Borgo
The Footlab model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chantilly. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bastia-Borgo vs Chantilly?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Bastia-Borgo (1,715) and Chantilly (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia-Borgo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chantilly have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Colmar(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bastia-Borgo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chantilly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Chantilly 0-1 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bastia-Borgo 1-0 Chantilly | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Chantilly vs Bastia-Borgo on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia-Borgo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chantilly score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia-Borgo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chantilly | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia-Borgo sit 8th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Chantilly sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chantilly | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Bastia-Borgo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bastia-Borgo vs Chantilly?
- The Footlab model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chantilly.
- Where and when is Bastia-Borgo vs Chantilly played?
- Bastia-Borgo vs Chantilly is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul-Antoniotti, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.