Chambly Thelle FC vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Pierre Brisson, Beauvais
The Footlab model makes Chambly Thelle FC the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for St Maur Lusitanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chambly Thelle FC vs St Maur Lusitanos?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Chambly Thelle FC (1,783) and St Maur Lusitanos (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chambly Thelle FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Chambly Thelle FC score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chambly Thelle FC | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chambly Thelle FC sit 3rd in National 2 - Group A (3 points from 1 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chambly Thelle FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | St Maur Lusitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chambly Thelle FC vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes Chambly Thelle FC the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for St Maur Lusitanos.
- Where and when is Chambly Thelle FC vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Chambly Thelle FC vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Pierre Brisson, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.