Creteil vs Montlouis: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, Créteil
The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Montlouis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creteil vs Montlouis?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Creteil (1,769) and Montlouis (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creteil have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Montlouis have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chantilly(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Montlouis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creteil sit 2nd in National 2 - Group A (3 points from 1 matches) and Montlouis sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Creteil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creteil vs Montlouis?
- The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Montlouis.
- Where and when is Creteil vs Montlouis played?
- Creteil vs Montlouis is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.