Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Changchun's People Stadium, Changchun
The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Changchun Yatai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Changchun Yatai (1,382) and Nantong Zhiyun (1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changchun Yatai have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nantong Zhiyun have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 6-0 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Changchun Yatai win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nantong Zhiyun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Changchun Yatai 3-2 Nantong Zhiyun | Super League |
| May 5, 2024 | Nantong Zhiyun 2-3 Changchun Yatai | Super League |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Changchun Yatai 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun | Super League |
| May 6, 2023 | Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Changchun Yatai | Super League |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Changchun Yatai 4-0 Nantong Zhiyun | League One |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Nantong Zhiyun 0-0 Changchun Yatai | League One |
Last archived meeting: Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun on Sep 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Changchun Yatai sit 9th in League One (22 points from 19 matches) and Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun?
- The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Changchun Yatai.
- Where and when is Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun played?
- Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Changchun's People Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Meizhou KejiavsShaanxi Union
- Oct 31, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsShenzhen Juniors
- Oct 31, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsYanbian Longding
- Oct 31, 2026Nanjing CityvsDalian Huayi
- Oct 31, 2026Dongguan UnitedvsNingbo Professional
- Oct 31, 2026Hebei KungfuvsGuangzhou E-Power
- Oct 31, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsWuxi Wugou