Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Wujiang Stadium, Suzhou
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Suzhou Dongwu. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?
Yanbian Longding starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,461 vs 1,345).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suzhou Dongwu have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Yanbian Longding have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Suzhou Dongwu win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Yanbian Longding win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Yanbian Longding 3-1 Suzhou Dongwu | League One |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding | League One |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Yanbian Longding 2-1 Suzhou Dongwu | League One |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Yanbian Longding 0-5 Suzhou Dongwu | League One |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding | League One |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Yanbian Longding 2-2 Suzhou Dongwu | League One |
Last archived meeting: Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suzhou Dongwu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzhou Dongwu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Yanbian Longding | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Suzhou Dongwu sit 14th in League One (16 points from 20 matches) and Yanbian Longding sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?
- The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Suzhou Dongwu.
- Where and when is Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding played?
- Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Wujiang Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Changchun YataivsNantong Zhiyun
- Oct 31, 2026Meizhou KejiavsShaanxi Union
- Oct 31, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsShenzhen Juniors
- Oct 31, 2026Nanjing CityvsDalian Huayi
- Oct 31, 2026Dongguan UnitedvsNingbo Professional
- Oct 31, 2026Hebei KungfuvsGuangzhou E-Power
- Oct 31, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsWuxi Wugou