Chantilly vs Le Pays du Valois: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Bourgognes, Vineuil-Saint-Firmin
The Footlab model makes Chantilly the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Le Pays du Valois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chantilly vs Le Pays du Valois?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Chantilly (1,677) and Le Pays du Valois (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chantilly have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Le Pays du Valois have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Reims II(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group E |
| May 9, 2026 | Amiens SC II(away) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OCPAM(home) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Balagne(away) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chantilly win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Le Pays du Valois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Le Pays du Valois 0-0 Chantilly | National 3 - Group G |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chantilly 5-1 Le Pays du Valois | National 3 - Group G |
Last archived meeting: Le Pays du Valois vs Chantilly on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chantilly score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Le Pays du Valois score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Le Pays du Valois | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chantilly sit 7th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Le Pays du Valois sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chantilly | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Le Pays du Valois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chantilly vs Le Pays du Valois?
- The Footlab model makes Chantilly the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Le Pays du Valois.
- Where and when is Chantilly vs Le Pays du Valois played?
- Chantilly vs Le Pays du Valois is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Bourgognes, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.