Colmar vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Colmar Stadium, Colmar
The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Colmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colmar vs St Maur Lusitanos?
St Maur Lusitanos starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colmar have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Wasquehal(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colmar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 St Maur Lusitanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | St Maur Lusitanos 1-1 Colmar | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Colmar 2-0 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: St Maur Lusitanos vs Colmar on Jan 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Colmar score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colmar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colmar sit 15th in National 2 - Group A (0 points from 1 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | St Maur Lusitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Colmar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colmar vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Colmar.
- Where and when is Colmar vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Colmar vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Colmar Stadium, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.