Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Bourgognes, Vineuil-Saint-Firmin
The Footlab AI model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chantilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If St Maur Lusitanos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,085 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos?
St Maur Lusitanos starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chantilly
Not enough data to predict the Chantilly lineup.
St Maur Lusitanos
Not enough data to predict the St Maur Lusitanos lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chantilly have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Le Pays du Valois(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Furiani-Agliani(home) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Colmar(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Chantilly score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chantilly sit 16th in National 2 - Group A (2 points from 8 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Maur Lusitanos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 2 |
A question about Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab AI model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chantilly.
- Where and when is Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Chantilly vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Bourgognes, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.