Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 21, 2014 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
Chapecoense-sc won 1-0 on August 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 60′CamiloChapecoense-sc
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2014 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Goias(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Santos(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Chapecoense-sc score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (11 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy