RB Bragantino vs Fluminense: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Fluminense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Fluminense?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate RB Bragantino (1,954) and Fluminense (2,011).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Bragantino have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Remo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 RB Bragantino win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Fluminense 1-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | RB Bragantino 4-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Fluminense 2-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2024 | RB Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | RB Bragantino 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs RB Bragantino on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Bragantino score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Bragantino sit 7th in Serie A (35 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Fluminense?
- The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Fluminense.
- Where and when is RB Bragantino vs Fluminense played?
- RB Bragantino vs Fluminense is played on December 2, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.