Charleston Battery vs Louisville City: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Patriots Point, Mount Pleasant, South Carolina
The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Louisville City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleston Battery vs Louisville City?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Charleston Battery (1,831) and Louisville City (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleston Battery have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Louisville City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brooklyn(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Indy Eleven(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orange County SC(away) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 0-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Antonio(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 4-5 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Charleston Battery win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Louisville City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Louisville City 0-2 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Louisville City 4-1 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Charleston Battery 1-2 Louisville City | USL Championship |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Louisville City 3-1 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Charleston Battery 3-2 Louisville City | USL Championship |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Charleston Battery 2-1 Louisville City | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Louisville City vs Charleston Battery on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleston Battery score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Louisville City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Louisville City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleston Battery sit 4th in USL Championship (20 points from 12 matches) and Louisville City sit 3rd (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 36 |
| 3 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 4 | Charleston Battery | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleston Battery vs Louisville City?
- The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Louisville City.
- Where and when is Charleston Battery vs Louisville City played?
- Charleston Battery vs Louisville City is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Patriots Point, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots