Lexington vs Louisville City: result 1-2 and analysis
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on March 7, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
Full time
What was the result of Lexington vs Louisville City?
Louisville City won 1-2 on March 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′A. MolloyLexington
- 52′M. AkaleLouisville City
- 85′A. McFaddenLouisville City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Louisville City have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2026 | New Mexico United(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lexington win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Louisville City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Lexington 1-2 Louisville City | USL League One Cup |
| May 2, 2025 | Louisville City 2-0 Lexington | USL Championship |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Louisville City 3-2 Lexington | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Louisville City 1-0 Lexington | US Open Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lexington vs Louisville City on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Louisville City score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Louisville City | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lexington sit 8th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Louisville City sit 3rd (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 31 |
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Orange County SC1-1Las Vegas Lights