Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph: result 4-5 and analysis
USL League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
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What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Greenville Triumph won 4-5 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′C. MarshGreenville Triumph
- 28′C. ChaneyCharlotte Independence (pen.)
- 30′Jon BakeroCharlotte Independence
- 45′C. MarshGreenville Triumph
- 50′C. MarshGreenville Triumph (pen.)
- 54′C. ChaneyCharlotte Independence (pen.)
- 59′R. JaureguiCharlotte Independence
- 68′577040Greenville Triumph
- 90′543269Greenville Triumph
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Greenville Triumph have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Texoma(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 30, 2025 | One Knoxville(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 3-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Forward Madison(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tormenta(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Naples(home) | 2-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Forward Madison(away) | 1-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Charlotte Independence win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Greenville Triumph win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph | USL League One |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Greenville Triumph 1-0 Charlotte Independence | USL League One |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Greenville Triumph 0-1 Charlotte Independence | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Charlotte Independence 2-1 Greenville Triumph | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Greenville Triumph 2-0 Charlotte Independence | USL League One |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph on Jun 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte Independence score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Greenville Triumph score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Greenville Triumph | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in USL League One (43 points from 21 matches) and Greenville Triumph sit 15th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 29 | 43 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 7, 2025Union Omaha2-1Westchester SC
- Aug 9, 2025Portland Hearts of Pine0-0Richmond Kickers
- Aug 9, 2025Union Omaha2-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Aug 9, 2025Naples2-1Texoma
- Aug 10, 2025Forward Madison2-2One Knoxville
- Aug 10, 2025Spokane Velocity2-0Alta
- Aug 10, 2025Westchester SC3-3Tormenta
- Aug 15, 2025Charlotte Independence1-0Westchester SC