Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta played?

Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta is played on September 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Paladin Stadium, Greenville, South Carolina

Greenville Triumph

Tormenta

The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Greenville Triumph. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta?

Tormenta starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,624).

Greenville Triumph win33 %

Draw26 %

Tormenta win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greenville Triumph have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greenville Triumph
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	3-3	USL League One

Tormenta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	0-0	USL League One
Oct 25, 2025	Texoma(home)	3-0	USL League One
Oct 18, 2025	Greenville Triumph(away)	4-1	USL League One
Oct 12, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-1	USL League One
Oct 3, 2025	Westchester SC(home)	3-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Greenville Triumph win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tormenta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 18, 2025	Greenville Triumph 1-4 Tormenta	USL League One
Sep 13, 2025	Greenville Triumph 1-2 Tormenta	USL League One
Aug 2, 2025	Tormenta 2-2 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Apr 26, 2025	Tormenta 2-1 Greenville Triumph	USL League One Cup
Oct 27, 2024	Greenville Triumph 5-1 Tormenta	USL League One
Jun 9, 2024	Tormenta 1-3 Greenville Triumph	USL League One Cup

Last archived meeting: Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta on Oct 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Greenville Triumph	1.1	1.6	2	8/15	9/15
Tormenta	2.3	1.2	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Greenville Triumph	21	5	5	11	23	35	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta?: The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Greenville Triumph.
Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta played?: Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta is played on September 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.