Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?

Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on September 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte Independence

Portland Hearts of Pine

The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Portland Hearts of Pine. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Charlotte Independence starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,643).

Charlotte Independence win67 %

Draw17 %

Portland Hearts of Pine win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Portland Hearts of Pine have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte Independence
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 12, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-4	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	3-1	USL League One

Portland Hearts of Pine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-2	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	3-3	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Charlotte Independence win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	Portland Hearts of Pine 4-2 Charlotte Independence	USL League One
Jul 19, 2025	Charlotte Independence 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte Independence	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	10/15
Portland Hearts of Pine	1.6	2.3	0	14/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in USL League One (43 points from 21 matches) and Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charlotte Independence	21	13	4	4	47	29	43
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	22	5	8	9	32	37	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?: Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on September 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.