Where and when is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta played?

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Fitzpatrick Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, Maine

Portland Hearts of Pine

Tormenta

The Footlab model makes Portland Hearts of Pine the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Tormenta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Portland Hearts of Pine (1,643) and Tormenta (1,722).

Portland Hearts of Pine win41 %

Draw24 %

Tormenta win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Hearts of Pine have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Hearts of Pine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-2	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	3-3	USL League One

Tormenta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	0-0	USL League One
Oct 25, 2025	Texoma(home)	3-0	USL League One
Oct 18, 2025	Greenville Triumph(away)	4-1	USL League One
Oct 12, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-1	USL League One
Oct 3, 2025	Westchester SC(home)	3-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tormenta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 6, 2025	Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Tormenta	USL League One
Apr 12, 2025	Tormenta 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta on Jul 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portland Hearts of Pine	1.6	2.3	0	14/15	11/15
Tormenta	2.3	1.2	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	22	5	8	9	32	37	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta?: The Footlab model makes Portland Hearts of Pine the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Tormenta.
Where and when is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta played?: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Tormenta is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Fitzpatrick Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.