Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ludovic Giuly, Chasselay
The Footlab AI model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chasselay MDA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux?
On Elo ratings, Chasselay MDA has 1,808 points and Chateauroux 1,722.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chasselay MDA
Not enough data to predict the Chasselay MDA lineup.
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chasselay MDA have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Chateauroux have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 4-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chasselay MDA wins, 1 draw, 1 Chateauroux win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | Chateauroux 3-2 Chasselay MDA | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Chasselay MDA 1-1 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Chateauroux vs Chasselay MDA on Mar 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chasselay MDA score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasselay MDA | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chasselay MDA sit 4th in National 2 - Group C (9 points from 5 matches) and Chateauroux sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chasselay MDA | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux played?
- Chasselay MDA vs Chateauroux is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ludovic Giuly, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.