Toulon vs Istres: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Istres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Istres?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Toulon (1,798) and Istres (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulon vs Istres
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Istres
Not enough data to predict the Istres lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 02:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Istres have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chateauroux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UF Touraine(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Toulon win, 1 draw, 2 Istres wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Toulon 2-2 Istres | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Istres 4-0 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Toulon 3-1 Istres | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Istres 3-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Istres score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Istres | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (12 points from 7 matches) and Istres sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toulon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 14 | Istres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Toulon vs Istres?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Istres?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Istres.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Istres played?
- Toulon vs Istres is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.